I'm not quite sure whether I agree or disagree with the commentary here, but it sure is sobering...
- posted
19 years ago
I'm not quite sure whether I agree or disagree with the commentary here, but it sure is sobering...
snip
Spock: Fascinating!
; )
Randy
Obviously there is less need for communications satellites because each new one has HUGE capacity compared to the one it replaces. And then there are the DirecTV, DISH, Sirius, XM, etc. satellites. Are those considered "communication" since they don't relay telephone calls?
Yes, they are communication satellites. they are relaying communications one-way.
I can agree with the pessimism of the article. That's one of the reasons I came back to the hobby 2 years ago. The space program's no longer an adventure to fire the imagination that adds some color to a drab world, it's the bureaucracy that makes the world drab (Be a good little citizen and walk lock step with the rest of the herd, there's nothing better than the life we benign leaders provide you with so don't even think it. There's Wrestling tonight and tomorrow you can watch Survivor: Ad Nauseum....). If that's going to change ya got to step to the line yerself, and to quote Buckwheat from so long ago in the one Little Rascals episode, "He' I is!"
Chuck
Ahem, the "Space Age" has long passed, we are now in the "Information Age". :(
Alan
seems pretty realistic. not much to disagree with there ... I like the ascerbic tone, too.
In truth, we've never been in the "space age"
Bob Kaplow NAR # 18L TRA # "Impeach the TRA BoD" >>> To reply, remove the TRABoD!
I don't know where the article got its data, as I haven't seen the latest FAA report on Commercial launches (should be sometime this month), but the ones for FY 2003 are out, and can be found here:
Of course comunication satellite launches have gone down, we have better technology and a lack of GEO orbit positions to thank for that. There are only so many useful and safe slots available for GEO (comm or otherwise) satellites. Constellation types (such as Iridium) didn't pan out (i.e. went bankrupt). The reason there was such a spike in launch activity in the 90's (which suprisingly doesn't show on the author's graph) was because of Iridium. That makes me wonder about the author's data even more...
Plus the fact that communication companies can fit more transponders onto a single satellite, increasing bandwidth, users, or both. I can understand comm companies only wanting to replace old/worn out satellites, which has to be done anyway when a GEO satellite's thrusters run out of hydrazine/propellant.
But another factor has been the advent of launching multiple payloads on one rocket, a novel concept reducing the total number of launches.
Until we find a way to get rid of most of the junk that is up there, pretty soon we may not be launching anything, for fear of it being hit by a paint fleck or bolt travelling at 14,000 mph.
Mike
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