Dear David,
If you buy an inexpensive tension gauge, some weights, some rope, and a ceiling hook, then you can easily duplicate my tests.
But first try this quick test:
The rim appears to deform quite noticeably in a zig-zag when four spokes A-B-C-D are squeezed together as pairs A & C and B & D.
The "basic physics" mistakenly assumed that there must be impressive tension increases to support the conclusion and the angle calculations worked only if the rim and hub stayed fixed relative to each other.
Tape a spoke at a tangent to the rim on the brake surface. Sight along the spoke, and squeeze a few spokes in that rim section.
Watch the spoke wave back and forth as the rim deforms.
As an analogy, the "basic physics" that calculated a 150-lb increase in tension for a 250-lb initial tension spoke for a 30-lb squeeze force was the "basic physics" for a hammock stretched taut between two six-foot-thick oak trees--sitting in the hammock does not draw the two trees appreciably closer.
The real physics, repeatedly measured on various wheels, suggested that the situation is much more like slinging a hammock between two saplings that bend toward each other when you sit on the hammock. Calculations based on the alarming angle at the hammock will mistakenly produce tension rises that would break the rope.
Consider that a 100-lb squeeze force bent spokes at such an impressive angle that they retained a faint bend.
Consider that if a 30-lb squeeze force actually produced a 150-pound tension increase in a 250-lb initial tension spoke, producing a 400-lb tension, then a reasonably strong poster could easily squeeze a spoke so hard that it exceeded its elastic limits. I know of no complaints that posters have permanently stretched their spokes by squeezing them and found that the spoke lost considerable tension when they let go.
Jobst's tests indicated that the popular 15-gauge stainless steel spokes start yielding permanently at around 600 pounds of tension.
Here's a diagram of the setup for my testing:
Again, the calculations that mistakenly assume a fixed distance between the rim and hub predicted a 250% greater tension increase from only half as much squeeze force.
Cheers,
Carl Fogel