back off a minute! stop putting words in my posts. I said nothing to the contrary about arc flashes involvement in these blasts.
The fact is that you are thinking an arc would cause the explosion "always", when in fact an arc can occur and disseminate itself (lose potential) to the atmosphere inside the manhole without any further manifestation., the full potential in the transmission line doesn't always discharge itself (a Balance may occur) unless a Heavy Grounding Presence is added (as when & if the Cables Collapse or Expand touching Metal parts inside the cavity or equipment)., the presence of Gas changes that dramatically and when it ignites the whole Manhole chamber & Conduit Flashes Launching the Manhole into the air.
An Arc Flash & it's Magnitude is subject to the environments surrounding having a path for it., seldom will the High Tension Cable Arc towards a Manhole Cover, but to other conductors and nomenclature with Ground Potential, if that occurs an Arc Alone Explosion is plausible.
again, an Ionic Displacement such as that possible through a Charged Gases would enhance the Flash Potential & Cause The Explosion with out any Ground Potential Contact. it happens.
Realize: Your Arc alone theory for a Manhole Explosion is not a stand alone concept., if you want to believe so, that is totally up to you.,
I am sure they May Occur under Several Conditions and/or a combination of several Long Term (charge/discharge) Flash Occurences leading to an Explosion when the chamber and conduit is full of Gases produced in the fault & reaction of cable/insulation fuming into the air inside the chamber.
so if the Cables/Hardware Shortout, whether through Water, Contact or Ionization Boom ! i agree, but, also,
If a milder potential or leak charge is present due to damaged insulation overheating, chemical reactons & displacement occurs over time you'll have a gas filed chamber and eventually, Boom !
I think that discussion on Motor Models is going to far };-)