In reference to
Please see the following link for the TItan IV "model" rocket funding 'summary'. ~~~~~~~~>
I have cross-posted my response therein as well.
Comments?
the Raving Loonie
In reference to
Please see the following link for the TItan IV "model" rocket funding 'summary'. ~~~~~~~~>
I have cross-posted my response therein as well.
Comments?
the Raving Loonie
Hibernia
I like you calculations! :)
Do they allow pleasure boaters in a 27km by 27km box impact zone for most of the snipped-for-privacy@cape.canaveral.com ?
.. or is it actually more dangerous because there could 'potentially' be ... let's say 25,000 pleasure boats in the area bringing the 'odds' of a tragic accident 'loosely' down to 1 in 3?
Or let me see now? ... booster hits oil rig and sets it on fire with a big explosion killing all 250 souls?
As in nobody dies or 250 'casualties'? This would bring the odds down to 1 in 300 by your figure...
Other possible causes of death?
The following lonk suggests that 'Death by Asteroid' os about 1 in
20,000See
Other numbers bandied aboiut are 1 in 500,000 to 1 in 200,000
Let's assume for the moment that your number of 1 in 72'900 roughly holds. Does this those poor souls on that oil rig within the 27 by 27 km box stand as much chance of being injured by a falling Titan 4 booster as they do in being killed by an asteroid?
: )
You will note that my logic is 'faulty'. The grim reaper would be amused.
RL
Finally, some more 'odds' for consideration:
Raving loonie, indeed, :-)
Yes, depending how you calculate the odds, the number will vary. In any case, no matter how you calculate them, the risks in this particular case (the oil rig) are much smaller than the risks from the daily operation of the rig. Or at least I think so.
- Alex
But of course your mileage may vary.
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