...and passes congress.
1. O.k., we're already experiencing a what - $700 billion deficit?
It's not going to happen while that's hanging around our necks.
2. Bush 1 announced a similar goal, 12 years ago. Nothing.
3. Remember SDI, the National Aerospace Plane, etc? Duds.
4. X-33 and Venturestar? "Your program has been cancelled"...
5. The ISS began as a 12-year, $20 billion dollar program to house 20
astronauts. It's taken nearly 20 years so far, has cost 5X the original
estimate, and is home to only 2 astronauts, who can barely keep up
with maintenance.
...I'm the first one who'd love to see this happen, but without a STRONG
committment, STRONG management, STRONG cost containment and a
CONTINUOUS policy of support from the American people, congress, and
presidential administrations over a multi-decade time span, it'll never happen.
All too true. At least it seems Bush wants to get the ball rolling
toward a worthy goal. I don't know how anything like this will ever get
through Congress because they it's almost totally a partisian vote these
days based on which party sponsors the bills.
If Bush is in office, the Democrats will probably kill all efforts, if a
Democrat gets elected, the Republicans will probably try to kill off the
program. There might be exceptions in states with huge NASA contractors
or in the states of the big three NASA facilities.
hmmmm rather than being cynical about it, why not look at a few reasons WHY
it can't happen.
only two transport companies so far.
money is never an object. people have done more with less money than this.
people need to quit being armchair beareucrats and start being spacemen.
Aloha,
Walter Cronkite told me that when I watched men walk on the moon. Walter was
sacrosanct. Not even parents could object when Walter said something.
A promise was made to a whole generation of little boys watching television,
and that promise was not kept.
Now, instead of having the moon base and Mars missions that were promissed, we
have a fools war in Iraq, homeless people in the streets, and a usurping texan
in the white house. (not sure what's worse, the usurper, or it being a texan)
Please pardon me if I do not get excited about someone I don't trust giving,
vague speeches, about a plan that conveniently does not reach fruition during
his administration. (say that long sentence in one breath) This is just a way
to gain popularity, and be able to blame the follow on administration when it
doesn't happen.
The promise needs to be kept, but I have no faith that it will be kept by the
current occupant of the white house.
Take Care,
Larry
I just had to reply to this. Comments inline.
Always remember the old gov't addage. A few hunderd billion here, a
few hundred billion there and we start talking about REAL money...
And why was that? Because it was a Skunk Works design. Nothing
against them for designing aircraft (which they are VERY good at) but
they have no clue about spacecraft design. And tell me, a Lithium
alloy tank for liquid hydrogen? Does anyone realize how brittile
lithium and its alloys get at temperatures approaching that of liquid
hydrogen??? In my opinion they should have cancelled it a few years
earlier, or went with a different design from the get-go.
Incorrect. The ISS was initially approved in 1984 as an $8 billion
project. By 1993, $10 billion had been spent with very little
hardware built, and an estimate of $17.4 billion MORE to complete, as
of 2001 $26 billion additional to complete. As of 2001, the total
estimate to complete exceeded $37 billion, excluding foreign
contributions.
Keep in mind NASA's yearly budget for operations (robotic and human)
is only about $14 billion...A spit in the ocean considering the
budgets of other agencies...
The reason the ISS has overrun so much is because of changing designs,
and the need to "Internationalize" it. In addition to STRONG
management, NASA also needs GOOD management. The ISS is the epitome
of BAD management, with no one center having a lead on the project, no
one having clear authority on the design, etc. There is still no
"clear" purpose on what ISS is suppossed to do, and this has led to
redesign and more cost... Remember the goal of the Apollo program,
Man, Moon, Decade (paraphrasing). The goal of ISS has been "keep
people in space and it will be done when it's done," not a very good
goal to actually finish a project...
Luckily, NASA is finally getting the clue that their management has
fallen apart after Apollo, and is looking for outside help to assess
them and get them back on their feet (I know a couple of people who
have been approached).
If you want to know about GOOD management, and how NASA actually
completed the Apollo project, I would suggest two books: "The Secret
of Apollo" by Stephen Johonson (basically a history of Systems
Management through Apollo) and "Organizational Communication
Imperatives: Lessons of the Space Program" by Phillip K. Tompkins (an
overview and assesment of Marshall Space Flight Center management from
the Apollo/von Braun age and their organizational forgetting up to the
Challenger accident). Check your local library...
I believe that if NASA has a specific goal, then it will succeed,
assuming the project is properly funded. If a goal is set to
establish a Moon base, and a Mars exploration project, I have no doubt
that NASA will be able to succeed. Let's just hope they don't want to
commercialize half way through like with the shuttle (shudder)...
Mike Gerszewski
Univ. of North Dakota
Space Studies
Graduate Assistant
Yes, you're obviously right. Having Dan Goldin as NASA Administrator
during the boom years of the 90's (the Clinton era, remember?) was
definitely a much better path for NASA...
David Erbas-White
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