Production Machining Vs. Prototype Machining

No matter how much money is spent on high-end equipment for production machining (5th axis, horizontals with pallet pools, probes, high end CADCAM (Vericut, NX, etc.) is this really a market that will ever been stable / sustainable in the U.S and does it give the employee the kind of job security that being a very good and very quick prototype machinist does?

My answer is no.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer
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Oh, you are getting fired?

Reply to
Calif Bill

You mean how can you get fired when you were forcibly retired?

Good question.

The answer is you can't and you're unemployable.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer

And who asked the question again?

Reply to
Jim Stewart

I did.

Are you having trouble answering it?

I don't think it's an easy question to answer.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer

medical.

Reply to
vinny

Actually I am amazed you are still employed. With your attitude, do you possess some pictures of your boss? As to unemployable, I still get head hunters coming to me. I have to much to do in retirement to have time to work at a 40 hour job. Went to Slidell, LA after Katrina and worked for a week with HAB. Tow my boat, that I can afford, to Canada for a few weeks. Stuff like that. As well as visiting the grandbaby. Life is good, except for the knee that is going to get scoped next week. I, unlike you, have a happy life.

Reply to
Calif Bill

I've got two medical customers and they've been rock solid through this current recession. One of the customers we do tooling for their different products, so it's 1-10 pieces of part kits that might have several parts. The other is more of a production outfit. We do 6 or 8 parts in lots of 500-1000.

Best, Steve

Reply to
Garlicdude

Once again, you prove that your knowledge of the machine shop business is as non existent as your knowledge about machining and CADCAM. Is there ANYTHING out there that you actually *do* know how to do? (Other than constantly humiliate yourself on the internet and in real life).

Reply to
Joe788

Once again, you prove that your knowledge of the machine shop business is as non existent as your knowledge about machining and CADCAM. Is there ANYTHING out there that you actually *do* know how to do? (Other than constantly humiliate yourself on the internet and in real life).

*** Don't look now, but there's some h*mo humping your leg.
Reply to
vinny

Jon, I'm sorry, I don't see the point of your question/statement?. If you are asking the question Can America compete in the manufacturing industry in today's market place? The answer is no for commodity pieces.......our labor is too high. At the same time, the volume of prototype developement cannot sustain the amount of people in the industy either.........So, what does that mean?.......It means you need to do something else, that's what it means. We no longer need TV technicians or Boilermakers either. I do this shit for fun, you sure as hell can't make money at it, like when we were competitive. As uncomfortable as it is, you need to get a skill people are willing to pay for. Steve

Reply to
Steve Lusardi

Steve, the question can also be stated this way:

Can small run production be done by most machining job shops in the U.S. that will *sustain very expensive top of the line CNC equipment* or is this an extremely risky venture?

As far as prototypes and very short run that market isn't going to China and most certainly is viable in the U.S.A.... it's what I do for a living and I do very well at it.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer

Why don't you try asking a better question.

There is not nearly enough info here to give an intelligent answer.

First of all, what is "top-of-the-line"? Haas? Mori Seiki? Not much difference in price these days for comparable CNC lathes.

More importantly is whether a machine shop

*needs* a top-of-the-line machine. If the shop has older machines that are holding tolerance and running without significant downtime, the best that can be accomplished with new equipment is that it will continue to hold tolerance and run without downtime.

Or in other words, nothing.

Likewise buying good used vs new.

Also a lot depends on whether or not the owner has the cash to buy a new machine. If the owner is flush, buying a machine is an excellent way to bank that cash without paying taxes on it. If the owner has to finance, it may make a lot less sense.

So are you looking at buying some new equipment or just making smalltalk?

Reply to
Jim Stewart

Reply to
Steve Lusardi

It's not a problem when the investment is say $50,000. Small runs go very, very well with this type of CNC machining center. When the price goes to half a million dollars for a production horizontal machining center with a pallet pool, I think there is now a big problem because the *consistent volume* you need to pay for a machine like this, as well as to *sustain the business model it requires*, seems to be very elusive for many machining job shops. It's too bad because machines like this require much less labor, can run lights out and can produce lots of parts very quickly. They can also be lots of fun to program.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer

I'm looking for experienced input on what I believe is a machining market that has seriously changed.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer

A huge chunck of it, and engineering etc has gone to china, probably even a lot of the prototype work... for 5 dollars a day you can get development done, supervised by PhD's who worked their way though college in a machine shop or whatever in China or India or the US...

and you can get it fast, wiith all the brain work done on the web with edits etc...and the hardware shipped to the US if needed for a check overnight ..... for half what a US engineer or prototype machinist gets per

*hour...

and remember, those test 45th in the world in math/ science behind many of the chinese.... btw only about 10% of the engr and tech grads in china get jobs...so its the top 10% we are competing with...and now they are better than us across a broad spectrum.

these were crappy at first, as were the japanese in the 1950's...by the 70's the japanese stuff was on a par with US mfgrs. by the 80's they were beating us.... China is moving even faster...

its moved to china and india.... enough of it to drive US prices below viability levels... something like a horse race you only have to run a few seconds off the lead pace to finish last...

*** My approach (Im 68) has been work that cannot be offshored, thats construction and on-site engineering and specialty engineering on larger projects that cant be inported as easily... and I joint venture with others who need the work to keep their shops and staff busy.

I dont take wage jobs... instead I get a premium to do occasional work for a wide range or clients I do subscribe to various industrial construction reporting services.. that provides me leads to the work... I scope it out and approach one of my clients with a JV offer where I can see a fit or a chance to win the job with value engineering.. You would approach shops who need the work ..and..dont have the skill sets to do what you bring them. then you joint venture the contract. (if they have the skills and equppment they dont need you... if you have a line on the right equipment and terms that fit the job..you can cut a deal.

a person could do something similar in the machining business... to advance in my business, early on I read all the trade journals (mostly free) and the ads.. after 10 or 20 years of that and working on the leading edge whenever possible... you can start to get damn good at what you do..

Trying to make it all fast, usually has problems... trying to make it away from the leading edge, and in the commodity range of schlock doesnt work well either, unless you want to own the company and spend

20 years building volume.

Phil scott...

Reply to
phil scott

Your opinion is based on such minuscule experience and sampling, it's completely meaningless. If the business model you speak of is too hard to sustain, why are there virtually ZERO late model multi-machine FMS systems for sale on the used market? Hundreds of those systems were installed in the last 5 years by Mazak, Mori, Makino, Matsuura, Toyoda, and Fastems to name a few. How many of them are up for sale, or bank repossessed? You'll only find FMS systems that are 8, 10, 20 years old, and most are being sold because they've been replaced with newer systems.

Reply to
Joe788

If anyone is interested I know of a 3 year old Matsuura horizontal with pallet pool for sale. It's located in San Diego, CA. The reasons these machines don't come on the market is there is no market for them at anywhere close to what they sold for. Owners have no choice but to keep making the payments and hope they can somehow pay it off and make it work in the future when / if there is more work.

E-mail inquires on the Matsuura with pallet pool and extra pallet to jon snipped-for-privacy@yahoo.com

I don't think this machine represents a good value but it is for sale at the right price. Details by e-mail only to those financially qualified.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer
*

Much of the machining prototype work I do can't be sent offshore and much of it can't be done by outside shops for what our in-house shop can do it for. Also, outside shops can't do it in the time frame and with the same quality we can.

I really question why someone would want to get into production machining at this point. I see it as very unstable and very cyclical which is unfortunate.

Jon Banquer San Diego, CA

Reply to
jon_banquer

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