That is my belief, as well; It's the rockets, stupid...
I have been trying to figure out which Department actually assesses terrorist threats given the HSA reorganization and the obvious incompetence of the DOJ in assessing hobby rocket motor threats. BATFE went over to Justice, but it is not listed as a Division under the Department of Homeland Security.
I was struck by a "mission" statement at the atf.gov site:
That's not BATFE's job according to the CFR which established their jurisdiction over "Commerce in Explosives". Violent crime; okay. Terrorist threats; no way.
Essentially, BATFE is responsible for regulations promoting a safe and efficient industrial/economic infrastructure for items under their control, and to help fight organized crime. Implementing infrastructure regulations based upon changing and poorly perceived terrorist threats is contrary to maintaining a stable and efficient infrastructure. No doubt, temporary regulations may be required and necessary. But those can be enacted by DHS on an as-needed basis.
It is counter-productive to have a regulatory agency in the business of terror threat assessment. The ATF had it's own enforcement division precisely because of the unique nature of BATFE regulatory impact.
Having BATFE doing terrorist assessment and basing regulatory decisions on terror threats is playing directly into the hands of the terrorists; their actions are changing our society in fundamental ways as we react, by way of infrastructure regulations, to their threats, real or perceived. And the skewed perception of those threats exhibited by BATFE/DOJ in regards to hobby rocket motors demonstrates the subsequent regulations will be just as skewed and ineffective. GIGO.
I'm about to communicate this view to my elected officials. Thoughts or comments?